Monday, January 31, 2011

Boise Home Values Continue to Decline?

Boise Home Values Continue to Decline?
Below is a link to an article from Yahoo Finance where they list the top five cities that they predict values to increase and five cities where they predict values will continue to decline. They forecast Boise home values to continue to decline in 2011 by 7%. Perhaps this projection is valid, but I don’t think they mean to suggest home values to decrease across the board. There are areas in Boise where inventory levels have tapered off and values are holding. Also, the very large homes with massive upgrades have been the most affected. I’ve seen homes that sold for a million dollars in 2006 sell, as a bank owned property, in the four hundred thousand range. If the average Boise home sales price is $162,000, it doesn’t take too many of these larger homes to skew the data. So if you are looking to purchase a larger home with many upgrades, you can get a steal. But I think you can expect the standard homes to level off.
Who knows if this research included Boise residential income properties? My guess is that it came from our MLS. However, for those of you who have been following my blog, you already know my take on that. I do not expect Boise residential income properties to decrease by seven percent. Inventory levels are decreasing and we are seeing newer turnkey properties increasing in value. The 10-20 year old property values seem to be stabilizing. The older properties that have a lot of deferred maintenance are still struggling. I think this trend is tied to investors looking for something with low anticipated maintenance costs.

On a personal level, Swope Investment Properties has been very busy. To ensure my clients get the best service available, I often team up with someone within our office when my plate is looking full. My partners and I have already closed on two 4 plexes this year. We have five other 4-plexes pending. So we are definitely seeing some good activity.
http://finance.yahoo.com/real-estate/article/111915/the-best-and-worst-cities-for-home-values-in-2011?mod=realestate-buy

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Boise Area Rental Market

Boise Area Rental Market:

The market continues to show improvement. Our inquiry traffic via phones and internet has been very solid. We had over 800 inquiry calls just last week for only 27 listings. That averages to nearly 30 calls per property. Of the 800 calls, we only converted 3.9% or 31 of those into showing appointments, which is much smaller than average. This tells us that prospective renters are very busy phone shopping. We had 6 appointments cancel for one reason or another and an additional 4 resulting in no shows. Applications were given to all 21 potential renters that we showed properties to last week. Of those 21, eleven submitted the applications for a property. Of those 11 applications, 6 were approved, 2 were approved with a co-signer or large deposit, and 3 were denied for either credit, criminal, or income issues. We signed 5 leases last week, as most of those were the result of approved applications from the week prior. So you can see, the lead generation is outstanding and not counting internet leads, our inquiry to lease conversion ratio is approximately ½ of 1%. Again, that is lower than average and simply indicates that even though inventory levels are low across the Boise area, tenants continue to shop the MOST for the LEAST.
As the graph below shows, our current vacancy rate is 1.9% compared to the nearly 7% a year ago during the same time period.

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Marketing Conversion:
Above I talked about leads. I agree that the more leads we get, the more showings we’ll get, which will lead to more approved applications. However, when analyzing where to advertise, we ignore leads and simply look at what created a signed LEASE. The graph below shows what marketing efforts actually resulted in an executed lease. As you can see, the internet is the main source. In our tracking, we actually break this down, to Craigslist, our own website, and the 200 other sites that we feed our listings to. However, that tracking is unreliable. We put a link to our own website on all of our advertising. It is very common for a tenant to come across one of our Craigslist listings and click on the link to our site to view the virtual tour, detailed descriptions, and photos of the property and even submit an online application. Our tracking will recognize that http://www.frpmrentals.com/ was the source and when we confirm with the tenant at the lease signing, they tell us the same thing, as they forgot that they actually found us somewhere else originally, which lead them to our site. The same goes for print advertising. Many of our applicants see us on our print advertising which pushes them to our website and then cite that our website was the source of their inquiry.

Online internet advertisers know that they are the main lead generator and these sites are becoming more and more technical for tracking and backend reporting. They are also changing it up to upsell us. For example, http://www.rentals.com/ is one of our largest lead generators. They use to just list everyone’s ads in order of user criteria. However, like all internet advertising, they have found that if we place an ad on the banner, it will have a much higher click rate. My point is that internet listing sites are getting smarter and figuring out how to increase the cost per ad. However, over the years, we have been fairly successful in getting away from classified ads in the local paper, which were indeed the highest cost of advertisement. This is why most of you have seen a decrease in the advertising costs. We still use the newspaper, but we’ll submit a single ad that describes multiple properties within that same area. That ad may cost $350, but is to the benefit of 5 properties, so the pro-rata share is $70 per property.
Lastly, I wanted to discuss Craigslist. Craigslist is one of those bitter sweet things. People like it, because it’s free. However, because it’s free, it falls prey to scammers. Every day we get responses from someone who is an obvious scammer. They want to rent the property and will send a cashier’s check, which is for more than what is needed and we are to cash and save send them a check back for the difference. Also, if you recall, I posted a news broadcast where the scammers were stealing property manager’s ads and posting them as their own at super low rents. Craigslist is our largest lead generator, but we have to weed thru and be constantly leery of scams. Also, because everyone is using it now, we have to re-post our ads constantly to be on the top. So we have a staff person, that spends 15 to 20 hours a week creating new Craigslist ads and updating existing ads. So much for being free. Like I said, I personally think it would be better if Craigslist actually would start charging a small fee. That should eliminate a majority of the scammers. Then if they would create a criteria search so that no matter how old the listing is, it ranks the listings by most qualified to the requested criteria. OK, can you tell I’ve put a lot of thought into Craigslist and the inherent problems we go through by using it?


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Accounting Changes:
You probably received an email from the accounting department about some changes regarding posted rents. It’s complicated so let me first describe the issue. The issue was that if a tenant received $250 off the first month’s rent as an incentive, our software posted full rent and automatically deducted the management fee. Then we would manually enter in the $250 and then deduct it from rent so that your income was not overstated. However, the system did not automatically deduct the small difference in management fees. So the owner was paying management fees based on potential rents and not actual rents. Like I said, it’s complicated to explain why this happens and all the different things we tried to work around it. We came up with a workable solution that will help and only create a little bit of extra work for us. So if there is a RENEWAL or MOVE-IN INCENTIVE, you will actually see that posted as an account in the Description section on your statement versus RENT. For example, if we placed a tenant in a property that rented for $1,000 and received a $250 move-in incentive. You would see $750 posted as RENTS and $250 posted as MOVE-IN credit. Again, the reason we did this is that is saves our owners some money on management fees.
Another change made this year concerns multi-family buildings. In the past, we have posted mortgages, HOA dues, and any common area bills to the first unit, such as #101. This year we will post these bills to the property. You’ll see the expenses on your statement after the unit accounting. We made this change based on owner requests who were wanting those building or common area bills outside of the units, so that they could analyze actual unit costs.



Tuesday, January 11, 2011

How Are Rents Determined?

How are rents determined?
Below is a link to an article talking about sophisticated software that landlords can use to somewhat forecast vacancy and rents so that rents and lease terms can be determined that day to maximize profits. This software is created by Real Page, who owns PropertyWare, which provides web based software to property managers. PropertyWare is one of the systems that we have been analyzing should we decide to make a software change. As I have indicated in the past, Rental Home Pros is probably the largest data collector of single family homes and small multi-family rental data and PropertyWare so happens to be a partner who shares their rental data.

Initially, we determine rents by analyzing data from Rental Home Pros and other surveys that we participate in. Additionally, we look at data from some of the larger internet listing services, which we subscribe to. Also, we call on rental signs in the immediate area to check on rent prices and incentives offered. This becomes more important when marketing a single unit within a 4 plex community. From there, we analyze the inquiry traffic from the phones and websites and make the necessary adjustments.

New Accounting Laws Affect Landlords
As a client of First Rate Property Management, this new law has no affect on you, because we simply take care of it. We have always been required to send the owner’s a 1099 for the rental income. You should be receiving your 1099 for 2010’s rental income along with your 2010 Year-end statement at the end of January. Additionally, we are required to send a 1099 to any service provider that we paid over $600 to in any given year, like a plumber. However, if they were a corporation, the 1099 was not required. This new law does not differentiate. Landlords are required to send a 1099 to anyone, regardless of how the business is formed, for total receipts of $600 or more. So not to worry, FRPM takes on this responsibility and our clients are taken care of. However, any Landlord doing their own management needs to create a system to track expenditures and probably work with their accountant to be sure to provide the IRS with the proper reporting. However, my biggest concerns is for those Landlords who are using a property manager that is either not aware of the new law or does not have a system in place to track payments to service providers and does not have the ability to create the proper reporting forms. Those Landlords are at risk and I imagine we’ll see quite a few unhappy when they’re approached by the IRS.

First Rate Property Management’s Vacancy by area and by property type
As promised, in 2011 we are breaking down our vacancy by area and by property type. Since we only have one week of data, this information really is not a good indicator of what area has a better vacancy than another. For example, this data shows that East Boise has a high vacancy rate, but in reality, FRPM doesn’t have a lot of inventory in East Boise, so the results are skewed. On the other hand, the Boise Bench is looking good at 2.86% and we actually have a large inventory on the Bench, but historically, we tend to have more trouble filling our bench properties. My guess is that I won’t consider this data valid until after a year of analysis. In the meantime, we will use this data when looking to take property on. For example, if one of our clients asked us to take on a property in Eagle, I would be inclined to take it on as we currently have no competing inventory. Also, as you can see our single family home vacancy is double our current vacancy as a whole. Interesting information, but as of now, not realistically meaningful.

FRPM Units by AREA Breakdown:
Area:
Vacancy Rate:
North Boise/BSU      
1.09%
Bench 
2.86%
West Boise
3.68%
East Boise
7.69%
Eagle
0.0%
North Meridian
1.82%
South Meridian
0.60%
Total Vacancy
2.33%


FRPM Units by TYPE Breakdown:
Type of Property:
Vacancy Rate:
Single Family Homes
5.26%
Studio/1 bed multi-family 
1.02%
Two bedroom multi-family
2.27%
Three bed multi-family
1.49%
Total Vacancy
2.33%

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Recap of the Boise Rental Market

Recap of the Boise Rental Market
The Southwest Chapter of the National Association of Residential Property Managers conducts a rental survey every quarter. The fourth quarter results are in and below are graphs that show vacancy, as well as average rents. I am happy to report that once again First Rate Property Management’s average rental vacancies and average rents have exceeded these results. We finished the year with a 1.5% vacancy with an average vacancy over the entire 2010 year of 3.7%. Also, FRPM subscribes to Rental Home Professionals. Not only do we use this system to market our investor’s available rentals, but as subscribers, we have access to endless reports. Rental Home Pros collects rental data from tens of thousands of rentals across the entire country every day. Instead of posting graph after graph, I thought I would just summarize the data. As far as rents, the data showed that Boise rents are considerably lower than the national average, especially for single family homes. However, FRPM’s rents were higher than average rents posted by other Boise subscribers. Also, according to Rental Home Pros, Boise’s vacancy rate was lower than the national average and once again, FRPM’s vacancy was lower than the average of the other subscribers.

Lastly, I wanted to remind everyone that in 2011, FRPM will not only provide a year-to-year comparison, but also vacancy by area and by type. We’re changing this up for a couple of reasons. For one, many investors ask what kind of rental to invest in and in what area. By no means do I recommend making such a decision based solely on vacancy and average rents, but I do think the information can be helpful. Also, FRPM will use this data when considering what new properties to manage. We always want take care of our current clients before ever considering taking on a new client and properties.

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Interest Rates
Interest rates have been on the rise. Below is a link to an article that includes a graph showing how interest rates have increased as the Feds pump more money into Treasury Securities. When it comes to interest rates, I never seem to know what to expect. Will they continue to climb, will they taper off and remain static, or by chance will they come down again? I also never seem to be able to determine how it will affect the market. Will the higher interest rate slow down purchasers, or make them jump before they go too much higher? And what about values, if investors leery of the higher interest rates, which are still pretty darn good, stop buying, what effect will that have on values? I read that the increase in rates caused some first time home buyers to quickly lock and pull the trigger on their home purchase, but I don’t know if the same is true for investors. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out. http://www.businessinsider.com/feds-600-billion-hedge-fund-to-fend-off-new-risks-2011-1